Nikki Haley did not win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. Major news outlets and official primary result summaries show that Donald Trump secured the GOP nomination in 2024, after dominating the primary contests, while Haley suspended her campaign in March 2024 after losing key early and Super Tuesday states (see reporting and race summaries from sources such as AP, major U.S. networks, and election result trackers around that time). Therefore, Chamath’s prediction that she would "come out of nowhere and win this thing" is clearly incorrect in light of the actual 2024 Republican primary outcome.