Jason @ 01:03:57Inconclusive
aitech
Within approximately 3–5 years (by around 2026–2028), advances in AI and automation will make it feasible to operate a large software company like Twitter with roughly 98% fewer employees than its pre-layoff staffing level.
We could be sitting here in three or 4 or 5 years, and instead of running a company like Twitter with 80% less people, maybe you could run it with 98% less people.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction explicitly gives a 3–5 year horizon: Jason says that in “three or 4 or 5 years” it may be possible to run a company like Twitter with 98% fewer employees than its pre-layoff level.
- The podcast was released on January 13, 2023.
- A 3–5 year window from that date runs from January 13, 2026 to January 13, 2028.
- Today is November 30, 2025, which is less than 3 years after the prediction.
Since the earliest deadline (3 years) has not yet arrived, we cannot say whether the prediction turns out right or wrong. There is also no evidence that such extreme automation has already been decisively proven impossible for the 2026–2028 period.
Therefore, the correct classification as of now is: it is too early to tell whether the prediction is right or wrong.