The prediction is right.

In Students for Fair Admissions v. President and Fellows of Harvard College and Students for Fair Admissions v. University of North Carolina, the U.S. Supreme Court issued decisions on June 29, 2023 holding that the race-conscious admissions programs at Harvard and UNC violated the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment (and, for Harvard, Title VI). The Court’s majority opinion concluded that the universities’ use of race in admissions could not be reconciled with the Constitution, effectively ending the form of race-based affirmative action used by elite schools such as Harvard and UNC.

• The Supreme Court’s syllabus and majority opinion state that these admissions programs “cannot be reconciled with the guarantees of the Equal Protection Clause” and therefore “must be invalidated.”

While the Court did not ban every conceivable consideration of race in any context (for example, applicants may still discuss how race affected their lives in essays), it clearly overturned the existing race-based affirmative action regime in college admissions as practiced by Harvard, UNC, and similar institutions in 2023. That matches Chamath’s prediction that it “is going to get repealed.”