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Last updated Nov 29, 2025
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Chamath @ 00:12:27Inconclusive
politicsgovernment
The United States will elect its first female president from the Republican Party before it ever elects a female president from the Democratic Party (no specific date, but ordering of events).
Of all of the places where you could ever elect a woman as president of the United States, I think it will come from the Republicans before it comes from the Democrats.View on YouTube
Explanation

As of November 30, 2025, the United States has never elected a female president from either major party. Joe Biden (Democrat) served from January 20, 2021 to January 20, 2025, followed by Donald Trump’s second presidency beginning January 20, 2025, with JD Vance as vice president—both men and both Republicans now in office.

Sources discussing Kamala Harris’s 2024 loss explicitly note that, had she won, she would have been the first female U.S. president, implying that the U.S. still has not had a woman president.

  • Biden presidency (2021–2025) and Trump’s second presidency beginning in 2025 confirm that all presidents to date are male.
  • Coverage of Harris’s 2024 campaign and its aftermath states that she would have been the first female president if elected, underscoring that no woman has yet held the office. (en.wikipedia.org)

Chamath’s prediction is about the ordering of future events (Republican woman elected president before Democratic woman). Since no woman from either party has yet been elected president, the prediction cannot currently be judged as right or wrong. It remains too early to tell, so the outcome is inconclusive.