Last updated Nov 29, 2025
politics
Donald Trump will participate in the 2024 Republican presidential primaries, will debate Ron DeSantis, and may win those primaries (speaker expresses belief that Trump has a real chance to win the nomination over DeSantis).
despite all this, Trump is still viable. I can't believe he's still viable and that he is going to be out there in the primaries and he's going to have to debate DeSantis. And I don't know that DeSantis can beat him in a debate. I think he might win.View on YouTube
Explanation

Jason’s core prediction was that Trump would still be viable in 2024, would be a central player in the Republican primaries, and had a real chance to beat Ron DeSantis and win the nomination. That central thesis proved correct, though one specific detail (that Trump would debate DeSantis) did not.

Evidence:

  • Donald Trump ran in the 2024 Republican primaries, dominated the field, won 54 contests, and far exceeded the 1,215 delegates needed for the GOP nomination, ultimately becoming the Republican presidential nominee at the 2024 convention. (en.wikipedia.org)
  • Ron DeSantis did in fact challenge Trump in the 2024 Republican primary, entering as his main rival but suspending his campaign on January 21, 2024 after a disappointing showing in Iowa, and explicitly endorsing Trump—confirming that Trump, not DeSantis, emerged as the party’s standard-bearer. (abc17news.com)
  • Trump clinched the nomination early in the calendar (by mid-March 2024) by surpassing the delegate threshold, confirming that he not only remained viable but decisively won the GOP primaries. (forbes.com)
  • However, Jason also said Trump was “going to have to debate DeSantis.” In reality, Trump skipped all official 2024 Republican primary debates; DeSantis appeared in those debates, but Trump never shared a debate stage with him. (en.wikipedia.org)

Taken together, Jason was right about the substantive outcome he cared about—Trump’s continued viability and real chance to win the 2024 GOP nomination over DeSantis—while being wrong about the specific mechanism (a head‑to‑head primary debate) through which that contest would play out. On balance, the prediction is best scored as right, with a notable but secondary detail incorrect.