Sam Bankman-Fried was sentenced on March 28, 2024 in U.S. federal court to 25 years in prison, plus supervised release, following his conviction on seven criminal counts related to fraud at FTX. Multiple reputable outlets (e.g., major U.S. newspapers and wire services) report the sentence length as 25 years, not 35.

Since Jason’s prediction set an over-under line at 35 years, and the actual sentence was significantly below that (by about 10 years), the prediction that the sentence would be “approximately 35 years” is incorrect.

(Key sources: contemporaneous news reports on the March 28, 2024 sentencing by major outlets such as the New York Times, Associated Press, and others, all consistently stating a 25-year sentence.)