Sacks @ 00:56:21Wrong
politicsgovernment
If a Republican wave materializes in the November 8, 2022 elections, the U.S. Senate could end up around 55–45 in favor of Republicans, rather than a narrowly divided 51–49 split.
you could just as easily end up with, you know, instead of it being a 51, 49 Senate, it could be 55, 45 because all these things could break the same way.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction described a plausible outcome in which, if a Republican wave materialized in the November 8, 2022 midterms, the U.S. Senate could end up around 55–45 in favor of Republicans instead of a closely divided 51–49 split.
What actually happened:
- In the 2022 U.S. midterm elections, Democrats retained control of the Senate.
- After the elections and the December 2022 Georgia runoff, the effective balance of power was 51–49 in favor of Democrats (including independents who caucus with Democrats). Multiple major outlets report this 51–49 Democratic majority as the final result of the 2022 Senate map.
- There was no Republican wave in the Senate; Republicans did not expand their seat count to anything close to 55, nor did they even gain control of the chamber.
Because the scenario described (a GOP wave leading to a 55–45 Republican Senate) did not occur, and the actual outcome was the opposite (a 51–49 Democratic majority), the prediction about the resulting Senate composition is wrong in terms of realized outcome.