The prediction of a broad 2022 midterm “Republican wave” significantly outperforming Democrats across federal races did not come true.

In the U.S. House, Republicans gained only a small majority—222–213, a net pickup of 9 seats—far short of a landslide or wave outcome. (en.wikipedia.org) In the U.S. Senate, Democrats expanded their majority from a 50–50 split to a 51–49 edge by flipping Pennsylvania and holding all other vulnerable seats, directly contradicting the idea of a Republican wave across federal contests. (en.wikipedia.org)

At the broader 2022 election level, major analyses noted that the widely anticipated “red wave” failed to materialize: Democrats outperformed historical midterm patterns, gaining a Senate seat and suffering only modest House losses, while also achieving a net gain in governorships—an unusually strong showing for the president’s party. (en.wikipedia.org) Because Republicans achieved only a narrow House majority and underperformed expectations in the Senate and many key statewide races, the outcome does not match the prediction of a broad Republican wave beyond a narrow chamber win.