Both of these two guys are one term presidents. I think that is abundantly clear. I think the question is, what is Biden's transition plan? you know, does he actually only stay two years and transitions it to Kamala? I don't know, but there's no way that he's running for a second term either.View on YouTube
The prediction has two parts: (1) Biden would be a one‑term president; (2) he would not run for re‑election in 2024.
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One‑term president – correct part
Joe Biden served a single term from January 20, 2021, and left office when Donald Trump was inaugurated as the 47th president on January 20, 2025. (en.wikipedia.org)
So the “one‑term president” portion of the prediction is accurate. -
Not running for re‑election – incorrect part
Biden did run for re‑election. On April 25, 2023, he formally announced that he would seek a second term in 2024 with Kamala Harris as his running mate and went on to secure an overwhelming majority of delegates in the Democratic primaries, becoming the presumptive nominee. (en.wikipedia.org)
He only withdrew from the race later, on July 21, 2024, under party pressure, endorsing Harris to replace him on the ticket. (cnbc.com)
Because the normalized prediction claims both that he would serve only one term and that he would not run for re‑election, and the second claim is clearly false, the overall prediction is best judged wrong, albeit with the caveat that it was half‑right on the one‑term outcome.