As of 29 November 2025, the target year (2030) has not yet been reached, so it is too early to determine whether the prediction will ultimately be correct.

Available data show that global venture capital (VC) investment has not yet reached $1 trillion annually, but that does not invalidate a “by 2030” prediction:

• KPMG reports global VC investment hit a record about $671 billion in 2021, up from $347 billion in 2020. (kpmg.com)
• S&P Global Market Intelligence data show global VC funding totaled about $435.7 billion in 2022 and then fell to about $260 billion in 2023. (spglobal.com)
• Other analyses put 2023 and 2024 global VC investment in the mid–300 billions, with Chambers & Partners citing USD 345.7 billion in 2023 and USD 368.3 billion in 2024, reflecting a modest recovery but still well below 2021’s peak. (practiceguides.chambers.com)

In all major data series, annual global VC investment is far below $1 trillion as of 2024, and 2025 data are incomplete. However, because the prediction’s horizon is “by 2030” and there are roughly five years remaining, its truth value cannot yet be determined. Therefore the correct classification today is “inconclusive (too early).”