Friedberg @ 01:19:25Right
politicsgovernment
The Gavin Newsom recall effort in California will succeed in gathering enough valid signatures to qualify for the ballot, resulting in a recall election being held.
I will tell you, it seems pretty likely that this recall effort is going to get the signatures it needs. So we can kind of put that in the sand, that it's very likely we're going to end up seeing a recall election.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction was that the Gavin Newsom recall effort in California would succeed in gathering enough valid signatures to qualify for the ballot, resulting in a recall election being held.
What happened:
- For the 2020–2021 recall effort against Governor Gavin Newsom, organizers needed 1,495,709 valid signatures (12% of the votes cast in the previous gubernatorial election) for the recall to qualify. (sos.ca.gov)
- On April 26, 2021, the California Secretary of State announced that this threshold had been met based on verified signatures reported by counties. (sos.ca.gov)
- After the statutory withdrawal period, the Secretary of State confirmed that 1,719,900 signatures remained valid—well above the requirement—and certified the recall petition on July 1, 2021. (sos.ca.gov)
- Following that certification, a gubernatorial recall election was officially called and held on September 14, 2021. (en.wikipedia.org)
Because the recall campaign did gather enough valid signatures, the petition was certified, and a recall election was indeed held, Friedberg’s prediction is right.