Public records from the California Secretary of State show that the recall petition against Governor Gavin Newsom surpassed the required 1,495,709 valid signatures in April 2021, with 1,626,042 verified at that stage, explicitly stating that the threshold to trigger the recall had been met. (sos.ca.gov) After the subsequent withdrawal period, counties reported that 1,719,900 verified signatures remained—still above the requirement—prompting the Secretary of State to notify the Department of Finance that enough signatures remained to initiate a recall election. (sos.ca.gov) On July 1, 2021, the Secretary of State certified the recall petition with 1,719,900 valid signatures out of 2,161,349 submitted, and the Lieutenant Governor then set the recall election date for September 14, 2021. (sos.ca.gov) A statewide gubernatorial recall election was in fact held on September 14, 2021. (en.wikipedia.org) Since the normalized prediction only claims that the recall petition would successfully qualify and trigger a recall election in 2021—not that Newsom would be removed from office—this prediction is right.