Public records show that organizers of the Gavin Newsom recall submitted about 2,117,730 signatures by the extended deadline of March 17, 2021.(mynspr.org) The legal requirement was 1,495,709 valid signatures.(sos.ca.gov) After county officials completed verification, the California Secretary of State reported 1,626,042 valid signatures, comfortably above the required threshold, all drawn from petitions turned in by the March 17 deadline.(kcra.com) This implies a statewide validity rate of roughly the high‑70% range, consistent with contemporaneous reports of validity rates in the mid‑70s to low‑80s.(latimes.com) The Secretary of State formally announced on April 26, 2021 that the recall had qualified for the ballot, confirming that the threshold of verified signatures had indeed been met based on the petitions filed by March 17.(sos.ca.gov) Since Friedberg’s normalized prediction was that the recall would still end up with enough valid signatures by the March 17, 2021 deadline—even under lower verification‑rate scenarios—and in fact the campaign did meet and exceed the necessary number of valid signatures from submissions by that date, the prediction is best scored as right.