Rationale

• The prediction was that in 2021 there would be a “big recall” in California targeting state-level leadership, implicitly Governor Gavin Newsom.
• In reality, a statewide gubernatorial recall effort against Gavin Newsom did qualify and proceed in 2021:
  • A recall petition against Newsom was filed in February 2020; signatures were gathered through March 2021.
  • On April 26, 2021, the California Secretary of State announced that organizers had met the threshold of 1,495,709 verified signatures required to trigger a recall election (ultimately 1,719,943 valid signatures, about 13.8% of the 2018 vote). (en.wikipedia.org)
  • The recall was officially certified and the California gubernatorial recall election was held on September 14, 2021, a statewide contest involving millions of voters and 46 replacement candidates. (en.wikipedia.org)
  • Newsom ultimately survived the recall, with about 61.9% voting “No” on removing him, but that does not negate the fact that there was a large, formal recall election. (en.wikipedia.org)

Given that a large-scale, formally qualified statewide recall election of the sitting governor indeed occurred in 2021, the prediction that there could be a “big recall next year in California” is accurately borne out by events.

Conclusion: The prediction is right.