ALL INPredictions
Last updated Nov 29, 2025
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Chamath @ 00:57:46Wrong
politics
Nikki Haley will successfully consolidate center-right Republican politics and become the Republican Party’s presidential nominee in the 2024 U.S. election, with the groundwork becoming visible in 2022–2023.
Smartest political move. Which you will not see until 2022 or 23, but laid the groundwork this year and I thought it was brilliantly done. Was Nikki Haley, who I think will be the Republican nominee for president in 2024... I think if you want to find, um, somebody to consolidate centre right politics in 2024, uh, my money would be on Nikki Haley.View on YouTube
Explanation

Nikki Haley did not become the 2024 Republican Party presidential nominee. Donald Trump was formally nominated for president at the 2024 Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, while JD Vance was nominated for vice president.(en.wikipedia.org)

Haley did run for the 2024 Republican nomination and had some notable successes, including winning the District of Columbia and Vermont Republican primaries, making her the first woman to win a Republican presidential primary and the first woman to win a state in a GOP primary.(en.wikipedia.org) However, she suspended her campaign on March 6, 2024 after heavy Super Tuesday losses, effectively conceding the race and clearing the way for Trump to secure the nomination.(cbsnews.com)

Because the core claim of the prediction was that Haley would "consolidate centre right politics" and be the Republican nominee in 2024, and the actual nominee was Donald Trump, the prediction is wrong.