Joe Biden did, in fact, win the 2020 U.S. presidential election, securing 306 electoral votes to Donald Trump’s 232, with major news networks calling the race for Biden on November 7, 2020, and the Electoral College later confirming this outcome.

Given that Chamath’s prediction was that “it’s Biden” (i.e., Biden would win) made on election night (November 3, 2020) when live tallies and betting markets were more favorable to Trump, the eventual result clearly aligns with his forecast.

Therefore, the prediction is right.