The prediction hinged on two linked claims: (1) a substantial Republican “red wave” in the 2022 midterms, and (2) that, in response, Democratic establishment figures and major voices would openly revive and praise Bill Clinton–style centrist triangulation as the party’s model.

1. No Republican “red wave” materialized. In 2022 Republicans won a narrow House majority but underperformed expectations, while Democrats held the Senate and made historically strong showings for a president’s party in midterms (e.g., net gubernatorial gains, no loss of Senate incumbents or state legislative chambers).(en.wikipedia.org) Contemporary coverage widely described the outcome as “the red wave that wasn’t” rather than a wave.(pbs.org) So the core triggering condition of the forecast (“after the red wave”) did not occur.

2. Democrats did not broadly rediscover or celebrate Clintonian triangulation in late 2022. Post‑midterm commentary inside the Democratic-aligned media environment often argued the opposite: that the 2022 results showed the limits of Clinton-era triangulation and that the party’s future lay in a more forthrightly progressive strategy. A prominent Salon essay, for example, declared that after the midterms “the Clinton era is finally over” and that “triangulation is dead,” explicitly rejecting Clinton’s 1990s centrist model as a path forward for Democrats.(salon.com) Later analyses of the Biden White House likewise emphasized that, unlike Clinton after 1994, Biden was not forced into a major centrist pivot; instead, advisers argued they could avoid a Clinton-style triangulation moment and continue focusing on issues like abortion rights and democracy.(sanjuandailystar.com) While some commentators and “Washington veterans” cited Clinton as one possible model for bipartisan governance after the election, this was in the context of general historical comparison and often came from non‑Democratic figures; it did not amount to a clear, party‑wide revival of Clinton’s triangulation as the endorsed strategy for Democrats.(csmonitor.com)

Because there was neither the predicted Republican red wave nor a discernible, establishment-level Democratic move to praise and emulate Bill Clinton’s triangulating centrism by the end of 2022, the podcast prediction did not come true.