Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Sacks @ 00:52:09Inconclusive
aihealth
Within 5–10 years from March 2023 (by roughly 2028–2033), AI systems will enable major medical breakthroughs, such as significantly improved diagnosis or treatment capabilities, that would be widely recognized as breakthroughs in medicine.
I could see major medical breakthroughs based on the AI in the next 5 or 10 years.View on YouTube
Explanation

The prediction sets a 5–10 year window from March 2023, i.e. roughly 2028–2033, for “major medical breakthroughs based on AI.” As of today (November 30, 2025), we are only ~2.5 years into that window, so it is too early to judge whether the prediction will ultimately be right or wrong.

In the period since 2023, there have indeed been notable AI-driven advances in medicine (e.g., large language models assisting with clinical documentation, image-analysis systems for radiology and pathology, and research models for drug discovery), but the prediction is about what will happen by 2028–2033, not by 2025. Whether those future “major medical breakthroughs” materialize — and are widely recognized as breakthroughs — cannot yet be determined.

Because the forecast horizon has not yet elapsed, the appropriate status is “inconclusive (too early)” rather than right or wrong.