As of November 30, 2025, TikTok has not been shut down in the United States; its roughly 100 million U.S. users still have access to the app and use it at scale.

Key points:

• In April 2024, the U.S. enacted a law requiring ByteDance to divest TikTok’s U.S. operations or face a potential ban after a set deadline, but this was a conditional future ban, not an immediate shutdown.
• Since then, TikTok has continued to operate in the U.S. while the law is challenged and implementation details are worked out. There has been no nationwide shutdown of user access comparable to what the prediction describes ("100 million people who used it every day" suddenly asking why it was shut down).
• Because the prediction was that TikTok would be shut down in the near future such that those users would lose access and question why it happened, and that outcome has not materialized by late 2025, the prediction is best classified as wrong, not merely inconclusive/too early.

If the user-visible condition (“TikTok is shut down in the U.S., and ~100M people lose access”) has not occurred by now, the prediction has failed in practice, even though there has been serious regulatory and legislative pressure around TikTok.