Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Sacks @ 01:04:30Inconclusive
politicsconflictgovernment
Sacks predicts that Xi Jinping is likely to attempt the annexation of Taiwan (forcible political unification with the PRC) before the end of his tenure as China’s leader.
you'd have to say it's the annexation of Taiwan. I mean, that's the thing that he must be looking to do before you know his time to reunify China. That's the thing that could put him in that league.View on YouTube
Explanation

As of 30 November 2025, China has not carried out a forcible annexation or invasion of Taiwan. Coverage of the Taiwan Strait describes rising tension, larger PLA exercises (e.g., 2023 and 2025 drills encircling or near Taiwan), and preparations on both sides for a potential future conflict, but no actual Chinese attempt to conquer or politically absorb Taiwan by force has occurred. (theweek.com)

At the same time, Xi Jinping’s tenure as China’s top leader is open‑ended. Term limits on the state presidency were removed in 2018, and Xi subsequently secured an unprecedented third term as China’s leader in 2022–2023, with no designated successor and the possibility to remain in power indefinitely. (npr.org)

Because the prediction was conditional on what Xi would do before the end of his tenure—a point that has clearly not yet been reached—there has not been enough time to know whether he will eventually attempt annexation by force. The prediction therefore cannot be judged right or wrong at this stage and is best classified as inconclusive (too early to tell).