The prediction explicitly concerns what things will look like “when we look back on it in 5 or 10 years” starting from 2024. That sets the evaluation window roughly between 2029 and 2034.

As of today (December 1, 2025), we are less than two years into that 5–10 year horizon. While AI capabilities do appear to be advancing quickly and are increasingly visible to mainstream consumers, the core claim is about how the entire multiyear trajectory will look in hindsight (whether exponential-like improvement continues and whether innovations keep diffusing into the mainstream over that full period).

Because the specified timeframe has not elapsed, we cannot yet say whether the exponential-like pace will continue over the full 5–10 years or whether consumer diffusion will sustain at the implied rate. Therefore the prediction cannot be definitively judged at this time and is best classified as too early to call.