The prediction tied a clear time window to Ukraine’s supposed military collapse: the speaker said Ukraine was “getting close to being combat incapable” and could collapse “in the next month… two months… six months” from the Sept 27, 2024 episode—i.e., by roughly late March 2025.

Open-source assessments of the front as of March 2025 show a severely strained but still functioning Ukrainian military, not a force that had become combat‑incapable or collapsed:

• A March 2025 campaign review notes that Russia was making slow, incremental territorial gains (about 73 square miles in the month) but that the overall strategic picture “remained largely unchanged,” with intense fighting and Ukrainian defenses still holding on multiple axes—indicating continued organized resistance, not collapse. (globalsecurity.org-www.globalsecurity.org)
• March 27–28 operational summaries describe Ukrainian Defense Forces conducting coordinated strikes that destroyed Russian armored vehicles, radar, ammunition depots, and command/logistics hubs, and inflicting large daily Russian losses in personnel and equipment—evidence that Ukraine retained the ability to plan and execute combined-arms operations. (amazing-ukraine.com)
• On March 25, 2025, Ukraine carried out a cross‑border HIMARS strike in Russia’s Belgorod region, reportedly destroying four Russian helicopters and operating on Russian territory—again inconsistent with a force that had become combat‑incapable. (theguardian.com)
• New large‑scale engagements beginning in late March and February 2025 (e.g., the Novopavlivka offensive and the Sumy offensive) explicitly list multiple Ukrainian brigades and corps as active combatants, showing that Ukrainian forces remained organized and field‑capable well beyond the six‑month horizon. (fr.wikipedia.org)

Looking beyond the prediction window, by late 2025 Ukraine’s armed forces are still clearly functioning: major battles and offensives on multiple fronts continue, and Western and Ukrainian officials are planning around Ukraine maintaining a strong post‑war army, not around a collapsed military. (reuters.com)

Because Ukraine did not become “combat‑incapable” and did not “eventually… collapse” within roughly 1–6 months after the Sept 27, 2024 episode, the prediction is best classified as wrong.