Official results for the 2022 Arizona U.S. Senate election show that incumbent Democrat Mark Kelly won re‑election on November 8, 2022, with about 51.4% of the vote (1,322,027 votes) to Republican Blake Masters’ 46.5% (1,196,308 votes).(en.wikipedia.org) Blake Masters is explicitly described in post‑election coverage as having been defeated by Kelly by roughly a 4.9‑point margin and later conceding the race.(en.wikipedia.org)

The prediction claimed that the race would be extremely close and that Blake Masters would ultimately win. While the race was competitive, Kelly’s near‑5‑point victory and clear status as the winner mean the core prediction—Masters winning—did not come true.