Last updated Nov 29, 2025
politicsgovernment
Newly elected House Speaker Mike Johnson will not remain Speaker for the long term (i.e., he will be removed or replaced before serving multiple Congresses), though he is likely to survive at least the first few major political skirmishes and not be ousted immediately.
Look, I don't think I don't think he's going to last long term, but, um, but it may be more than a few skirmishes.View on YouTube
Explanation

The prediction’s core claim was that Mike Johnson would not remain Speaker "long term," specifically that he would be removed or replaced before serving multiple Congresses, even though he might survive the first few skirmishes.

In reality, Mike Johnson was elected Speaker on October 25, 2023 during the 118th Congress and is still serving as Speaker in the 119th Congress. His biography notes he has been Speaker since 2023, and the page for the 119th United States Congress lists him as the current Speaker, confirming he continued in that role into a second Congress. (en.wikipedia.org) A November 25, 2025 Congressional Record entry also shows him exercising the office by appointing a Speaker pro tempore, further confirming he remains Speaker at least through late 2025. (congress.gov) Recent news coverage likewise refers to him as Speaker in late November 2025. (nypost.com)

Because he has already served as Speaker across more than one Congress (118th and 119th), the prediction that he would be removed before serving multiple Congresses is falsified, even though the lesser claim that he would survive the initial skirmishes did come true. Overall, the prediction is therefore wrong.