The prediction was that the November 2022 U.S. midterm elections would see a landslide “red wave” for Republicans, with even larger GOP gains if Democrats continued to focus on January 6th instead of economic/bread-and-butter issues.

What actually happened in the 2022 midterms:

• U.S. House: Republicans did gain a majority, but only narrowly. They flipped the House with a net gain of about 9 seats (from 212 to 221), far short of the dozens of seats typical of a “wave” or “landslide” election.
• U.S. Senate: Democrats improved their position. They gained a seat overall (winning Pennsylvania while losing no other Democratic-held seats), moving from 50–50 to 51–49 in their favor. This is the opposite of a large GOP surge.
• Governorships and state races: Results were mixed, not a GOP landslide. Democrats flipped several governorships (e.g., in Arizona and Maryland), and performed strongly in many key state-level contests.
• Post-election analysis: Across major U.S. outlets and election analysts, the consensus description was that the expected “red wave” did not materialize, with Republicans underperforming historical midterm patterns despite economic concerns and an unpopular incumbent president.

Because the prediction was for a landslide / even bigger red wave, and the actual results were modest GOP gains in the House, Democratic gains in the Senate, and mixed outcomes elsewhere—widely characterized as a disappointing result for Republicans—the prediction did not come true.