Evidence since July 2025 shows Elon Musk’s “America/American Party” failed to become a viable third party and was quickly walked back.

• Musk announced the America Party on X around July 5, 2025, positioning it as a new third party aimed at winning a handful of House and Senate seats. However, early reports noted that it had no formal FEC registration, structure, or candidates, beyond social‑media posts and vague plans. (brb.yahoo.net)
• By August 9, 2025, Business Insider reported that Musk had not followed through on any of the concrete steps needed to build a party (ballot access, organization, etc.), concluding that the America Party was “nowhere to be seen” a month after the announcement. (businessinsider.com)
• On August 20, 2025, Reuters reported that Musk had “backed away” from plans to launch the America Party and was refocusing on his companies and maintaining ties with Republican leaders instead of building a separate party. (reuters.com) Reporting in other outlets the same week similarly described Musk as shelving or abandoning the project for strategic reasons. (nypost.com)
• Encyclopedic coverage now characterizes the American/America Party of 2025 as short‑lived or merely an announced/abandoned project, noting that by late August Musk no longer intended to found or proceed with the party. (en.wikipedia.org)

By November 30, 2025, Musk’s third‑party effort has produced no ballot line, no candidates, no elected officials, and no sustained organization, and has effectively been shelved. Under any normal definition of a “viable or successful third party,” this means the “third party stuff” did, in fact, not work, so Sacks’s prediction is best classified as right.