Open-source reporting from 2022–2025 consistently indicates that the United States has provided extensive indirect support to Ukraine—financial aid, weapons, intelligence, training, and sanctions against Russia—but has not deployed U.S. combat units into Ukraine to fight Russian forces.

Key points:

1. Early policy statement (Feb–Mar 2022). In the first weeks after the invasion, President Biden and U.S. officials repeatedly ruled out sending American troops to fight in Ukraine, emphasizing that U.S. forces would defend NATO territory but not enter the war directly.

2. Aid and support, but no combat deployment. Throughout 2022–2025 the U.S. role has been described as providing military aid (artillery, air defenses, tanks, long‑range missiles), intelligence, and training (often outside Ukraine, e.g., in Germany or other NATO countries), without U.S. troops engaging Russian forces on Ukrainian soil. None of the major developments in U.S. support—such as provision of HIMARS, Patriot systems, Abrams tanks, or long‑range missiles—have included announcements of U.S. combat deployments into Ukraine.

3. No reports of U.S. combat forces fighting in Ukraine. Media coverage, Pentagon briefings, and congressional debates about escalation risks have focused on avoiding direct NATO–Russia war; there are no credible reports of U.S. combat brigades, battalions, or similar units being sent into Ukraine for active combat against Russian troops.

Given that the prediction was about direct U.S. military intervention with combat forces inside Ukraine and that, up to November 30, 2025, this has not occurred, the prediction that “the United States would not intervene militarily in Ukraine” in the specific sense defined (no deployment of U.S. combat forces to fight Russian forces in Ukraine) has held true.

Therefore, the prediction is right.