Available evidence as of November 30, 2025 does not show that long‑haul truck driving jobs have been significantly reduced by self‑driving technology yet, although there is clear activity and investment that could threaten those jobs in the future.

What we see today (late 2025):

1. Autonomous trucking is in limited pilots, not at mass displacement scale. Companies like Aurora, Kodiak, Torc (Daimler), and others are running autonomous truck pilots on select highway lanes in the U.S., generally with safety drivers or close human supervision, and are working toward commercial launches around the mid‑2020s, but these are not yet replacing a large share of long‑haul drivers nationwide. (This is widely reported across transportation and business press; there is no credible data showing large‑scale job loss specifically attributable to autonomous trucks.)

2. Truck driving employment remains high. Public labor statistics and industry commentary through 2024–2025 indicate that trucking companies are still hiring and frequently report driver shortages or tight labor markets, not a collapse in demand for long‑haul drivers due to automation. There is no major report of self‑driving trucks causing substantial net job losses among long‑haul drivers at the national level.

3. Transportation and logistics companies obviously continue to exist. Large carriers (e.g., Knight‑Swift, J.B. Hunt, Schneider, FedEx, UPS, etc.) and countless regional and local fleets are still operating. That portion of the prediction is trivially correct but wasn’t really in doubt.

Why the verdict is ‘inconclusive’:

• The prediction is about future structural impact ("I wouldn’t want to be a truck driver… because of self‑driving"), not explicitly tied to a short, dated horizon like 2024 or 2025. It implies a long‑term threat over a multi‑year/decade timescale.
• As of late 2025, self‑driving trucks are credible and progressing but have not yet produced the “significant reduction” in long‑haul truck driving jobs the quote anticipates. At the same time, the technology is clearly advanced enough that it could plausibly threaten those jobs later.

Because (a) no large‑scale displacement has occurred yet, but (b) the stated prediction is long‑term and does not specify a deadline, the fairest assessment as of November 30, 2025 is that it is too early to say whether it will ultimately be right or wrong.