Friedberg @ 01:27:10Inconclusive
techscience
Firefly Aerospace’s Blue Ghost lunar lander program will fly Mission 2 to the Moon in 2026 and Mission 3 to the Moon in 2028.
They are launching two additional missions mission two and mission three. Mission two is going to launch in 2026. Back to the moon 28 for mission threeView on YouTube
Explanation
As of November 30, 2025, both of the predicted missions are still in the future:
- Multiple sources describe Blue Ghost Mission 2 as scheduled to launch in 2026 but do not give a firm launch date or indicate that it has already flown. (en.wikipedia.org)
- Firefly and NASA press-related materials describe Blue Ghost Mission 3 as a mission to the Gruithuisen Domes slated for 2028, again with no indication that it has occurred yet (which would be impossible given the date) or that it has definitively slipped beyond 2028. (news.flyjets.com)
The prediction is about whether Mission 2 will actually fly in 2026 and Mission 3 in 2028. Since we are still in 2025, neither year has arrived, so we cannot yet judge success or failure of those schedule claims. The current information only shows intent and planning, not realized outcomes.
Because the relevant years have not yet passed, the correct status for this prediction is “inconclusive (too early)”.