ALL INPredictions
Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Friedberg
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Friedberg @ 01:05:31Right
politics
During 2025, socialist political movements and advocacy in the United States will grow dramatically in breadth and depth compared with 2024 (e.g., more organizations, greater membership, or significantly increased political influence).
we'll see a rise, a dramatic rise in socialist movements in 2025, in the United States.
Explanation

Evidence from 2025 strongly indicates that socialist movements in the U.S. did grow substantially in both membership and political influence relative to 2024.

  1. Organizational membership (breadth): The Democratic Socialists of America (DSA), the largest socialist organization in the U.S., saw membership fall to about 64,000 by October 2024, but then experience a sharp rebound to over 80,000 by October 2025 and over 90,000 by November 2025—roughly a 40% increase from the 2024 trough in a single year. (en.wikipedia.org) A September 2025 analysis of the DSA convention likewise reports the group at “more than 80,000 members” and on track to possibly exceed 100,000. (solidarity-us.org)

  2. Youth and campus organizing: Young Democratic Socialists of America (YDSA) reported 47% growth in chapter membership since November 2024, indicating rapid expansion among student and youth organizers. (notus.org) An October 2025 Axios/Generation Lab poll found U.S. college students now view socialism more favorably than capitalism (34% vs. 17%), suggesting a widening base of young sympathizers. (axios.com)

  3. Electoral and political influence (depth): DSA‑aligned officeholders expanded from “over 200 elected officials” in early 2024 to more than 250 by 2025. (en.wikipedia.org) NYC‑DSA and DSA nationally were central to Zohran Mamdani’s 2025 New York City mayoral win, widely described as the biggest electoral victory in DSA history and a major boost to democratic socialist influence in a flagship U.S. city. (en.wikipedia.org)

Taken together—large year‑over‑year membership gains from a 2024 low point, strong growth among youth and campus groups, and increased electoral clout—the data support Friedberg’s prediction of a “dramatic rise” in socialist movements in the U.S. during 2025 compared with 2024.