Evidence shows that the San Francisco Bay Area and the broader U.S. West Coast had not begun reopening by April 7–8, 2020, and strict shelter‑in‑place rules (including closure of restaurant dining rooms) were still in force.

San Francisco Bay Area:

• The original Bay Area shelter‑in‑place order issued March 16, 2020 was set to run until April 7.(sf.eater.com)
• On March 30–31, officials extended this order; San Francisco announced the stay‑home order would now last until May 3, explicitly rolling past the April 7 date.(sf.eater.com)
• Restaurants remained limited to takeout and delivery only; dining rooms stayed closed, and broader reopening (even of some outdoor businesses) didn’t begin until May and was further extended to at least May 31 while restaurants were still restricted.(sf.eater.com)

Broader U.S. West Coast:

• Washington State: The statewide “Stay Home – Stay Healthy” order closed non‑essential businesses and limited restaurants to takeout/delivery only. Initially through early April, it was then extended through May 4 and again through May 31, meaning no general reopening or dine‑in restaurant service by April 7–8.(capaa.wa.gov)
• Oregon: A statewide stay‑at‑home order on March 23, 2020 kept non‑essential businesses closed; the reopening framework allowed in‑person dining only starting with Phase 1, which counties did not begin entering until mid‑May 2020.(cnbc.com)

Because neither the Bay Area nor the broader West Coast had begun the kind of reopening described (people going back out to restaurants, end of strict shelter‑in‑place) by April 7–8, 2020, Friedberg’s prediction that this would occur by that date was wrong.