The prediction concerns the late 2020s and explicitly ties its timing to the 2028 U.S. election cycle. As of November 30, 2025, that election cycle has not yet begun in earnest, and there is still substantial time for party dynamics and leading figures to change.

While Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and other democratic-socialist–aligned figures are nationally prominent and influential within the Democratic Party, it is too early to determine whether a clearly socialist-aligned politician (such as AOC) will, by the 2028 cycle, become the major national standard-bearer or leading candidate of the party. The key condition of the prediction is specifically about their status by 2028, not just rising prominence before then.

Because the forecast’s target period has not yet arrived, the prediction cannot be judged as right or wrong at this time. It is therefore inconclusive (too early).