Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Friedberg
Despite mounting debt and fiscal issues, the United States will not experience Weimar‑style hyperinflation of the dollar in the foreseeable future, because the dollar’s status as global reserve currency and its widespread holdings make such a rapid, total loss of confidence unlikely.
I'm not sure there's going to be this kind of like Weimar Republic Deutschmark hyperinflation thing, because it is the reserve currency and it is so widely held by everyone, it would require collective giving up.View on YouTube
Explanation

Available data through late 2025 show no sign of Weimar‑style hyperinflation in the U.S. dollar.

  • U.S. CPI inflation was about 4.1% in 2023, then fell to about 2.9% in 2024, and is running around 3% in 2025, far from hyperinflation (which is usually defined as 50% per month or more).(in2013dollars.com)
  • Recent estimates put annual U.S. inflation in the 2.9–3.1% range in mid‑to‑late 2025—again, normal/moderate inflation, not a runaway collapse of currency value.(tradingeconomics.com)
  • Articles discussing hyperinflation risk in the U.S. continue to frame it as a theoretical or future possibility tied to debt and monetary expansion, not as something that is currently happening.(forbes.com)

Since more than two years have passed since the March 2023 prediction and the dollar has experienced ordinary single‑digit annual inflation (with no sudden, total loss of confidence or reserve‑currency status), the prediction that the U.S. would not undergo Weimar‑style hyperinflation in the foreseeable future has been borne out so far.