Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Friedberg
techclimate
Compared with conventional crop varieties, boosted‑breeding crops from Ohalo will require less water, less land, and less energy per unit of output to achieve their higher yields.
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Explanation

As of November 30, 2025, there is not enough independent, quantitative evidence to say whether Ohalo’s boosted‑breeding crops actually use less water, land, and energy per unit of output in real‑world farming.

What we do know:

  • Ohalo and David Friedberg report very large yield gains (often 50–100%+ in early potato trials) from Boosted Breeding, which would mechanically reduce land required per unit of output if input use per acre stayed similar. These claims are based on company trials and press materials, not yet large-scale independent field data. (ohalo.com)
  • Friedberg has explicitly claimed that the technology will enable “more food per acre using less water, less land, less fertilizer per unit output,” but this is framed as the potential impact of the platform, not as results from long‑term commercial deployment. (freethink.com)
  • Ohalo is still early in commercialization: potatoes and strawberries are in programs and consortia, and an almond variety (FruitionOne) with a projected ~50% reduction in water per almond is only in trial orchards, with first commercial deliveries targeted for 2027. (ohalo.com)
  • Regulatory milestones (e.g., USDA APHIS review of an Ohalo potato line) and initial product offerings show the tech is moving toward market, but they do not provide measured data on water, energy, or land use per ton of output relative to conventional varieties. (agtechnavigator.com)

Because the public record so far is dominated by company‑reported trials and forward‑looking statements, and there are no peer‑reviewed or large‑scale independent studies quantifying water, land, and energy use per unit yield for Ohalo’s boosted crops versus conventional varieties, Friedberg’s multi‑part efficiency prediction cannot yet be judged as clearly correct or incorrect. It remains too early to call.