Friedberg @ 00:14:15Inconclusive
techmarkets
Apple will generate at least $100 billion in cumulative revenue from Apple Vision Pro hardware (current and next-generation models) within less than five years of launch (i.e., before February 2029).
I think they're going to sell $100 billion of Apple Vision pros, not this version, but this version plus the next version, probably over the next, I would guess for them to get to 100 billion in sales. It'll take them less than five years.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction is that Apple will generate at least $100 billion in cumulative revenue from Apple Vision Pro hardware (current and next‑generation models) within less than five years of launch, i.e., before around February 2029.
As of the current date (November 30, 2025):
- Fewer than two years have passed since the initial Vision Pro launch in early 2024.
- Public reporting and analyst estimates indicate Vision Pro sales are in the hundreds of thousands to low single‑digit millions of units, not tens of millions, and nowhere near $100B in revenue yet. At roughly $3,500 per unit, Apple would need on the order of ~28–29 million units sold to reach $100B ([100,000,000,000 ÷ 3,500 ≈ 28.6M], see calculation).
- There is no evidence that Apple has approached $100B in cumulative Vision Pro revenue so far; that would be an extraordinary, widely reported milestone if it had occurred.
However, the deadline for the prediction is February 2029, and that date has not yet arrived. The prediction could still come true if future Vision Pro generations sell much more strongly.
Therefore, it is too early to determine whether the prediction is ultimately correct or incorrect.