Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Friedberg
tech
By roughly 10 years from this episode (around September 2034), traditional mobile handsets (smartphones kept in a pocket and operated by touch and on-screen browser interfaces) will largely disappear as the dominant personal computing device, and the conventional web browser interface will largely cease to be the primary way people interact with online information.
I don't think that mobile handsets are going to be around in ten years. I don't think we're going to have this like phone in our pocket that we're like pressing buttons on and touching and telling it where on the browser to go to the browser interface is going to go away.View on YouTube
Explanation

The prediction concerns the state of personal computing and interface paradigms around ten years after the episode date of September 27, 2024, i.e., roughly September 2034. Today is November 30, 2025, so fewer than two years have passed since the prediction was made and about nine years remain before the stated horizon. It is therefore too early to determine whether traditional smartphones will have largely disappeared as the dominant personal computing device or whether browser-based interaction will have largely ceased to be primary by that time. Because the forecast is explicitly about a future state well beyond the current date, its correctness cannot yet be evaluated.