Friedberg @ 00:49:14Inconclusive
climatetecheconomy
By the end of the 21st century, market- and technology-driven changes in sectors such as animal agriculture, transportation, and energy will have resolved the major factors driving anthropogenic climate change (i.e., these industrial systems will be substantially transformed so that their net contribution to climate change is no longer an existential threat).
I am an eternal optimist. But in this particular case, I think that this century, much of what we're throwing our hands about and remember at the beginning of the 20th century, we thought we were going to run out of food... It is a matter of time and a matter of natural evolution that we will resolve all of the factors that are driving climate change, from animal agriculture to transportation systems to energy systems. These are all going to get completely rewritten.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction concerns the end of the 21st century (around 2100). As of today (2025-11-30), we are less than a quarter of the way through the century, so there is no way to empirically verify whether:
- Animal agriculture, transportation, and energy systems will be "completely rewritten" in market- and technology-driven ways, and
- Their net contribution to climate change will no longer constitute an existential threat.
Current evidence shows:
- Global greenhouse gas emissions remain high and atmospheric CO₂ concentrations continue to rise; the world is not yet on a trajectory consistent with fully resolving anthropogenic climate change.
- However, there is substantial ongoing transition activity (e.g., rapid growth in renewables, EV adoption, alternative proteins, etc.), which speaks to direction of change, not the final outcome by 2100.
Because the claim explicitly targets the state of the world at the end of this century, and that time has not yet arrived, the correctness of this prediction cannot be determined now. It is therefore too early to judge, even though we can say that the prediction is far from realized so far.