Chamath @ 01:09:31Inconclusive
economy
Chamath predicts that India could reach US-like scale and predictability as an economic/investment destination, but doing so will require on the order of 50–100 years of sustained infrastructure and related investment from its current (2023) position.
and the only place that's really firing on all cylinders is India. But it has a long way to go to build the infrastructure that can really scale and make it as predictable as the United States. Could it do it? I think so, but it's going to take a long time. But, you know, 50, 60, 100 years of investment.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction is explicitly about a 50–100 year time horizon starting from around 2023 for India to potentially reach US-like scale and predictability as an economic/investment destination. As of today (November 30, 2025), only about 2 years have elapsed since the prediction was made, which is far too short to assess whether India will or will not achieve that outcome over several decades.
Because the claim concerns structural economic development over half a century or more, there is no way to definitively judge it yet. Therefore, the correct evaluation is that it is too early to tell whether the prediction will prove accurate.