Federal and congressional investigations did not clearly and conclusively answer the specific questions Chamath described (whether Hunter Biden acted as an unregistered foreign agent, and whether there were incriminating links/communications involving Joe Biden) before the relevant legal processes concluded.

Key points:

1. Scope of actual charges: Special Counsel David Weiss ultimately brought cases only for a gun offense in Delaware and tax offenses in California. Hunter Biden was convicted on three federal gun charges in June 2024 and later pleaded guilty to nine federal tax charges in September 2024; there were no charges related to acting as an unregistered foreign agent (FARA) or similar foreign‑agent conduct.

   • Gun case conviction: jury found him guilty on all three counts related to lying about drug use when purchasing a firearm and unlawfully possessing the gun. (cnbc.com)
   • Tax case: he pleaded guilty to three felony and six misdemeanor tax charges over failure to pay at least $1.4 million in federal taxes. (cnbc.com)
   • Weiss’s later report describes the investigation and notes that the prosecution resulted in a felony gun conviction and tax charges, while Republican critics had pressed for additional charges tied to foreign business dealings; Weiss indicated the subsequent presidential pardon effectively foreclosed further legal action. (politico.com)
     These outcomes do not constitute a judicial finding that Hunter either did or did not act as an unregistered foreign agent; the issue was never adjudicated.

2. Pardon and termination of cases: President Joe Biden issued a sweeping pardon in December 2024 covering Hunter Biden’s federal gun and tax offenses from 2014–2024. Courts then terminated the pending gun and tax cases, leaving the existing conviction on the record but ending further proceedings. (theguardian.com) This brought the federal criminal “process” to a close without any factual findings on foreign‑agent conduct or on the nature of Hunter’s business links to his father.

3. Impeachment inquiry and "links" to Joe Biden: House Republicans conducted an impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden focused largely on whether he abused his office to benefit Hunter’s foreign business dealings. A 2024 report by the Republican‑led committees asserted that Joe Biden engaged in influence‑peddling to enrich his family. (judiciary.house.gov) However:

   • Fact‑checking and mainstream reporting have repeatedly noted that, despite extensive bank records and testimony, Republicans have not produced direct evidence that Joe Biden personally profited from, directed, or materially participated in his son’s foreign business deals. (washingtonpost.com)
   • Even key GOP‑invited witnesses acknowledged the evidence does not yet establish that the president committed a crime or that the available information amounts to proven corruption. (cnbc.com)
     Thus, while the inquiry aired allegations and partial information about communications and proximity, it did not yield a broadly accepted, definitive answer about incriminating “links and communications” involving Joe Biden.

4. Status as of late 2025: By now, the criminal cases are closed (via conviction/plea and subsequent pardon) and the impeachment inquiry has produced only partisan, contested conclusions. There is no authoritative, widely accepted determination—judicial or otherwise—that:

   • Hunter Biden either did or did not act as an unregistered foreign agent; or
   • Joe Biden was demonstrably involved in, or benefitted from, his son’s foreign business activities.

Chamath’s prediction was that this process would "come out" and give "everybody" the truth—clearly establishing either innocence or guilt on these specific questions before the process concluded and around the 2024 cycle. Instead, the key issues he highlighted remain politically disputed and legally unresolved. On that basis, the prediction is best evaluated as wrong.