Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Chamath
politicsgovernment
Some version of the bipartisan antitrust bill that just passed out of the Senate Judiciary Committee (referenced as the bill to "rewrite some of these anti-competitive" rules, with a 75–25 committee vote) will be passed by the full U.S. Congress and become law in the near term (within the current legislative session following this January 2022 recording).
so it's I think some version of that is going to pass.View on YouTube
Explanation

Chamath was referring to the bipartisan tech antitrust bill aimed at Big Tech self‑preferencing that had just cleared the Senate Judiciary Committee in January 2022: the American Innovation and Choice Online Act (AICOA), S.2992, with a House companion H.R.3816.(congress.gov)

In the 117th Congress (Jan 3, 2021 – Jan 3, 2023), that bill advanced out of committee but never received a final vote in either chamber. On Congress.gov, S.2992’s latest action is that it was placed on the Senate calendar on March 2, 2022, with no subsequent passage; the tracker status remains only “Introduced,” meaning it died at the end of the 117th Congress.(congress.gov) The House companion H.R.3816 was reported by the Judiciary Committee and placed on the Union Calendar on December 21, 2022, but was never brought to the House floor and likewise did not pass.(congress.gov)

Subsequent reporting confirms that AICOA “stalled and never passed into law” and had to be reintroduced in the next Congress.(theverge.com) While Congress did pass other, narrower antitrust measures in late 2022—most notably the Merger Filing Fee Modernization Act and the State Antitrust Enforcement Venue Act to adjust merger filing fees and venue rules(klobuchar.senate.gov)—these are distinct bills focused on enforcement resources and procedure, not a “version” of the AICOA-style conduct rules that would rewrite self‑preferencing and platform behavior standards for Big Tech.

Because no version of the specific bipartisan Big Tech conduct‑regulating bill that cleared Senate Judiciary in January 2022 was passed by both houses and signed into law during that legislative session—or even by 2025—the prediction that “some version of that is going to pass” in the near term within that Congress is wrong.