Within the 30-day window after April 16, 2022, there was major substantive movement in the Twitter–Elon Musk takeover.

• Elon Musk made his unsolicited offer to buy Twitter on April 14, 2022.
• On April 25, 2022—just 9 days after the podcast release—Twitter’s board unanimously accepted Musk’s offer and announced a definitive agreement for him to acquire Twitter for about $44 billion and take it private. This is documented in contemporary coverage and timelines of the acquisition. (en.wikipedia.org)

Although the deal did not formally close until late October 2022 and there was later legal conflict, the core takeover terms (buyer, price, structure, and a binding merger agreement) were all settled and publicly announced well within the 30 days Chamath was talking about.

Because a binding acquisition agreement was reached and announced in that period, the situation did not remain largely unresolved, and Chamath’s prediction that “not much is going to get figured out in the next 30 days” is wrong.