Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Chamath
politics
Ron DeSantis’s 2024 presidential campaign will fail and end in a ‘withering,’ embarrassing fashion rather than in a competitive finish for the nomination.
I and I was very clear early on that his campaign was DOA, and I think that that's probably just going to he's going to have a a withering kind of embarrassing end to the campaign, unfortunately for him.
Explanation

Ron DeSantis’s 2024 presidential campaign did in fact fail and end weakly rather than in a competitive fight for the nomination.

• DeSantis suspended his campaign on January 21, 2024, just six days after a distant second-place finish in the Iowa caucuses (about 21% to Trump’s ~51%), and he dropped out before the New Hampshire primary and most other contests. He finished with only nine delegates to the Republican National Convention—far from a competitive delegate battle. (en.wikipedia.org)

• Analyses and post-mortems widely characterized his run as a flop. NBC’s reporting (summarized by CNBC/The Week) and others described his campaign as a "total failure to launch" and highlighted a chaotic, glitch-ridden rollout and ongoing dysfunction. (cnbc.com)

• Commentators called it "one of the most embarrassing, hapless, & disastrous presidential campaigns in memory" and "a stunning fall" that "failed to match the hype." (theweek.com)

• A Florida-focused roundup of reactions to his withdrawal explicitly said, "Ron’s campaign was dead on arrival" and that it ended with "a whimper of an ending almost as embarrassing as his failure to launch in May." (floridapolitics.com)

Given that DeSantis’s campaign collapsed early, produced only a token delegate haul, and was broadly described in real time and retrospect as an embarrassing flameout rather than a serious, competitive finish, Chamath’s prediction that the campaign was DOA and would have a "withering, embarrassing end" rather than a competitive conclusion was essentially correct.