Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Chamath
Chamath @ 01:19:00Inconclusive
politicsgovernment
Within roughly 15 years from late 2020 (by about the year 2035), Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson will run for President of the United States and will win a presidential election.
I'd like to go on the record with my 15 year projection then, or, uh, which is that, uh, the Rock is going to run for president and win.View on YouTube
Explanation

As of November 29, 2025, Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson has not run for President of the United States, let alone won a presidential election.

Key facts:

  • Johnson has repeatedly been discussed in the media as a potential presidential candidate and has said he would consider a run if that’s what people wanted. (the-independent.com)
  • In an October 2022 CBS interview, he explicitly said a presidential run was “off the table” at that time, citing family priorities. (thewrap.com)
  • Later reporting in 2023–2025 notes that political parties sounded him out and that betting/prediction markets speculate about him as a future candidate (e.g., 2028), but confirm that he has not officially declared any campaign. (euronews.com)

The prediction from late 2020 was that within roughly 15 years (by about 2035) Johnson would both run for president and win. As of late 2025, we are only about five years into that 15‑year window. Because:

  • He could still decide to run in a future cycle (e.g., 2028, 2032, or 2036, depending on how strictly you interpret “15 years”).
  • The outcome of any such hypothetical future race is unknown.

…it is too early to determine whether the prediction will ultimately be correct or incorrect.

Therefore, the appropriate classification today is:

  • Result: inconclusive (too early to tell).