Chamath @ 00:59:45Inconclusive
politicsgovernment
Over the next roughly 40–50 years (counting from 2025), New York City will deteriorate to conditions similar to those of New York City in the 1980s (high crime, disorder), before cycling back again.
So I suspect what happens is that New York takes a 40 or 50 year journey, and at some point it will look like New York of the 80s.View on YouTube
Explanation
The prediction is about a 40–50 year trajectory starting from around 2025, i.e., projecting conditions for New York City circa 2065–2075. As of the current date (November 30, 2025), less than one year has elapsed since the prediction was made, so it is far too early to determine whether NYC will "look like New York of the 80s" (high crime and disorder) over that long horizon. There is simply not enough elapsed time relative to the forecast window to evaluate accuracy. Therefore, the only reasonable judgment at this point is inconclusive (too early).