Evidence since the June 28, 2025 podcast shows that the Abraham Accords have expanded to include at least one additional Muslim‑majority country, matching Chamath’s prediction.

• In early November 2025, U.S. and Israeli officials announced that Kazakhstan would join the Abraham Accords, with reporting describing it as the first country to enter the framework since the Gaza war.(reuters.com)
• The Associated Press likewise reported that Kazakhstan "will join the Abraham Accords" in a symbolic move to boost the initiative, noting that it has long had diplomatic relations with Israel but is now formally entering the Accords framework.(apnews.com)
• Background/summary sources on the Abraham Accords now list Kazakhstan as a country that joined on November 6, 2025, explicitly under that banner.(en.wikipedia.org)
• Kazakhstan is approximately 70% Sunni Muslim, making it clearly part of the Muslim‑majority world, even if it is geographically Central Asian rather than in the Arab core of the Middle East.(israelhayom.com)

Chamath’s normalized prediction was that “in the coming years, additional countries in the Middle East and/or Muslim‑majority world will formally join or normalize relations with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords or an explicit extension of them.” Once Kazakhstan, a Muslim‑majority state, formally joined the Abraham Accords framework in November 2025, that condition was satisfied. The fact that this happened within months (rather than many years) does not invalidate the prediction; it simply means the forecast materialized early within the multi‑year window.

Therefore, based on current information, the prediction is right.