Joe Manchin never entered the 2024 U.S. presidential race. Throughout 2023–early 2024 he publicly flirted with a third‑party or independent bid, including work with the centrist group No Labels, but he ultimately declined to run. On February 16, 2024, Manchin stated, “I will not be seeking a third-party run. I will not be involved in a presidential run,” explicitly ruling out a 2024 presidential campaign.(theguardian.com)(washingtonpost.com)(fox29.com)(cbsnews.com)(news.wjct.org)

Later summaries of his career confirm that in 2024 he left the Democratic Party to become an independent and “clarified that he would not run for any office, ending speculation that he might be a candidate in the 2024 United States presidential election.”(en.wikipedia.org) Because he never became an actual presidential candidate in 2024, Chamath’s prediction that “Joe Manchin is running for president” was wrong.