Last updated Nov 29, 2025
Prediction
Chamath
Chamath @ 01:09:24Inconclusive
politics
If Glenn Youngkin serves a successful four-year term as governor of Virginia (2022–2025) and then runs for U.S. president in the subsequent cycle(s), he will be a dominant candidate and win decisively in that presidential race.
If Youngkin has a good four years in Virginia, he can run for president and crush this thing.View on YouTube
Explanation

Chamath’s statement was explicitly conditional: if Youngkin had a successful four-year term as Virginia governor and then ran for president, he would be able to ‘crush’ the race. As of November 30, 2025, Youngkin’s first and only term is still in progress and scheduled to end in January 2026, when he will be succeeded by Abigail Spanberger as governor of Virginia. (apnews.com) He did not run for president in the 2024 cycle and repeatedly stated he would not launch a 2024 bid, focusing instead on Virginia and its legislative elections. (fox5dc.com) Current reporting frames him only as a potential or speculative contender for 2028, not a declared candidate. (foxnews.com) Because the prerequisite (him actually running for president) has not occurred and no presidential race featuring Youngkin has taken place yet, there is no outcome to compare against the prediction. It is therefore too early to judge the prediction as right or wrong.