The prediction is explicitly long‑dated: Chamath says that at some point in his lifetime Bitcoin will become “an independent asset and a non‑speculative store of value.” As of 30 November 2025:

• Bitcoin is still widely characterized as a volatile, high‑risk asset with large drawdowns and strong correlation to broader risk‑on sentiment and tech/growth equities, not as a stable monetary reserve asset.
• However, the prediction concerns a state that may or may not occur at any time in the remaining decades of his life. There is no specified deadline (e.g., by 2030), so the fact that it has not happened yet does not falsify the claim.

Since the timeframe extends indefinitely into the rest of Chamath Palihapitiya’s life, and that period has certainly not expired, we cannot yet determine whether Bitcoin will eventually meet his criterion of being a non‑speculative, reserve‑like asset.

Therefore, the correct classification as of now is: inconclusive (too early to tell).