The prediction window is “the next couple of years” from March 2025, i.e., roughly until March 2027. As of the current date (Nov 30, 2025), that window has not expired, so we can’t yet definitively say whether Chamath’s claim will ultimately be right or wrong.

Current evidence suggests his skepticism is plausible so far:

• Figure AI is only beginning “alpha testing” of its humanoid robot in homes in 2025; reporting emphasizes that home use will remain in very early stages through 2025, and that we should not expect these robots to be routinely vacuuming or cooking yet. (techcrunch.com)
• Tesla’s Optimus has demo videos showing it autonomously performing various household chores (taking out trash, sweeping, vacuuming, stirring a pot, operating a microwave, opening cabinets, closing curtains), but these are still controlled demos, not a widely deployed, commercially available general‑purpose home robot. (teslanorth.com)
• 1X’s NEO humanoid home robot is available for preorder for 2026 delivery, marketed as a home helper, but as of October 2025, most tasks are still teleoperated by remote human operators, and autonomy is limited; it’s early‑adopter hardware rather than a robust, broadly capable, fully autonomous household servant. (en.wikipedia.org)

So, as of late 2025, general‑purpose humanoid robots are not yet “super functional” for common household tasks in a broad, reliable, consumer sense, which is consistent with Chamath’s view. However, because his prediction explicitly covers the entire period up to ~March 2027, it is too early to judge its final accuracy.

Given that the time frame is still ongoing and no contradiction has yet occurred, the correct status is “inconclusive (too early)”, not definitively right or wrong.