Available sources confirm that in the audio of the Nov 22, 2025 All‑In episode, Chamath (while talking with Alan Keating about the Polk hand) says they’ll "get Nick to play picture in picture this hand." This line appears in third‑party transcripts of the episode’s audio, but those transcripts only represent what’s said, not what’s shown on screen. (cockatoo.com)

The produced episode’s video is hosted on YouTube (watch URL ending in 4tgV87SM-r0), as referenced by multiple episode listings and summaries, but those pages likewise only describe the topics and segments, not any specific editing choices like picture‑in‑picture overlays. (digitalhabitats.global)

Due to current technical limits I cannot inspect the actual video stream or any frame captures, and a web search does not reveal any reliable viewer reports or notes indicating whether the poker hand was in fact shown via picture‑in‑picture in the released video. (digitalhabitats.global)

Because the episode is already published (so it’s not a timing issue) but there is no accessible, verifiable information about the video’s on‑screen layout, whether the prediction came true cannot be determined from the available evidence. Therefore the outcome is ambiguous rather than clearly right, wrong, or too early to tell.